Srinagar: The looming threat of La Niña over Kashmir has raised concerns among environmentalists, hydrologists and local communities as water levels in the Valley’s rivers, lakes and streams continue to recede.
This climatic phenomenon, known by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, often disrupts weather patterns globally, intensifying both droughts and floods depending on the region.
In Kashmir, the immediate impact of La Niña could manifest as altered precipitation patterns, further aggravating the already precarious water situation.
The declining water levels in Kashmir’s rivers, including the Jhelum and its tributaries, are already alarming.
Experts attribute this to a combination of reduced precipitation, retreating glaciers due to climate change.
Dr. Farooq Ahmad, a hydrologist at the University of Kashmir, said that “La Niña can lead to below-average rainfall in some regions, including parts of the Himalayas. This could exacerbate the water scarcity in Kashmir, especially during critical periods like the summer irrigation season.”
An environmental activist based in Srinagar, said: “The reduction in river flows impacts agriculture, hydropower generation, and even drinking water availability. Communities relying on river-fed irrigation systems are already feeling the strain.”
Kashmir’s economy is heavily reliant on agriculture and horticulture sectors that are highly sensitive to water availability. A significant drop in river levels could jeopardize the cultivation of rice, apples and other key crops.
Dr. Zubair Rashid, an agriculturalist, said: “Farmers are facing a double blow. On one hand, the water scarcity that limits irrigation; on the other, unseasonal rains or dry spells caused by La Niña can damage crops. This could lead to reduced yields, affecting both livelihoods and the regional economy.”
The Valley’s glaciers, which serve as critical water reservoirs, are shrinking rapidly. Scientists fear that La Niña’s influence, combined with ongoing climate change, could disrupt the balance of seasonal water availability.
Dr. Tasneem Bhat, a glaciologist, states, “Glaciers in the Himalayas are already under stress. If La Niña results in altered snowfall patterns, it could reduce glacier recharge during winters. This would mean even less water flowing into rivers during the summer months when demand peaks.”
Irfan Shah, a senior official at the Jammu and Kashmir Water Resources Department, said: “We need to strengthen early warning systems and ensure that farmers and other stakeholders are prepared for potential disruptions. Adaptation is key to minimizing La Niña’s impacts.”–(News Vibes of India)
